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An Analytical Perspective: Brexit and Election 2017 by D.W

Friday, June 02, 2017

 

Mrs May called a Snap Election for June 08, 2017, however previously she had no intention of calling an election until 2020. Whilst on a holiday in North Wales the decision was reached over the Easter parliamentary recess.

Theresa May has called a snap general election for June 8, claiming that divisions at Westminster risked hampering the Brexit negotiations. She said Britain needed certainty, stability and strong leadership following the EU referendum. Explaining the decision, Mrs May said: "The country is coming together but Westminster is not.” She said the "division in Westminster will risk our ability to make a success of Brexit. 

Taking an analytical view of the whole matter, Mrs May vision of taking the Country out the EU is by far different from those in Westminster. Her vision of shared society, reaching out to new friends and old allies seems foreign to most of her Westminster counterparts and some European Leaders, to the extent that, European Commission President, Jean-Claude Juncker, said that Mrs May was “deluded” as talks broke down during Brexit negotiations, according to a German newspaper.

The lack of support and rebelliousness/division from her ministers can weaken her passion of Brexit in the future, as lack of support can dishearten her enthusiasm and could result in lack of motivation to take Brexit in the intended direction. 

Let's see what election 2017 means for the Tories? 

Mrs May feels she is currently vulnerable in her Brexit negotiations deal, hence reason for calling Snap Election. 

“Currently she is vulnerable to rebellions by relatively small numbers of Conservative backbenchers if they can combine with the opposition parties. She will also be hoping that gaining her own mandate will enable her to pursue her vision of Brexit, and to face down hardliners in her own ranks who may be unhappy at some of the trade-offs that emerge in the negotiations” (The Telegraph, April 2017). 

Despite all what Mrs May has said, could calling a Snap Election, be intentional in capitalising on the so-called weakness of Mr Jeremy Corbyn or could it be the fact that she was leading in the polls. “Senior Tories had urged Mrs May to call an early election, taking advantage of the Conservatives' healthy opinion poll lead over Jeremy Corbyn's Labour”. (The Telegraph, April 2017). How this all changed? The row over dementia tax, the problems with the NHS and others, have caused a U-turn in the hearts and minds of the British people. 

In addition she failed to show up at the BBC debate, instead Amber Rudd, Home Secretary, represented the Tories. Mrs May defended her no-show,she said she was ‘focusing on taking questions from the public, knocking on doors and listening to voters’. Mrs May claimed: ‘Jeremy Corbyn seems to be paying far more attention to how many appearances on telly he’s doing. ‘I think he ought to be paying a little more attention to thinking about Brexit negotiations. That’s what I’m doing to make sure we get the best possible deal for Britain.’ 

The prime minister's no show on the debate and the dementia tax has put her now rating even lower than before showing that the labour leader who showed up for this debate is now leading in the polls and preferred as the best person to lead the country. 

A poll by YouGov for Queen Mary University of London for the first time showed more voters in the capital say they think Labour’s leader would make a better Prime Minister than Mrs May. Some 37 per cent picked Mr Corbyn and 34 per cent Mrs May, when asked who would be best to lead the country. 

A survey taken after manifesto launches last month had the Conservative leader ahead by 38 to 32. Overall Labour surged to a 17-point lead in the capital, reaching 50 per cent, up from 41 per cent a month ago. In the same poll the Tories were on 33 per cent, down from 36 last month. In March, the parties were just three points apart. (The Independent June 02, 2017)

In the previous months, Mrs May was leading in the polls as the favourite to win the election on June 08, but as time goes by the Labour Leader, Jeremy Corbyn has passed her and some polls reflect Jeremy Corbyn would be a better Prime Minister. 

Taking an analytic prospective, a few months ago Mrs May was leading in the polls over Jeremy Corbyn. Could this have prompted her to call for a snap election? but her failure to show on the TV and row over dementia tax have created a U-turn in the recent polls and choice of leadership in the mind of the British people.

It is important to note the people like debates, they make decisions on what they see and hear, most importantly it is public involvement. In this election Jeremy pushed forward, leaving no stone on-turn, meeting the people and offering solutions to the NHS, jobs, families and to industries, which the Tories somewhat seems too relaxed and too quiet about. 

The question might be asked, where are the Brexiteers, David Davis, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, who fought so passionately to get us out of the EU? If they had used the same passion this would have put the Tories and the Prime Minister, Mrs May in a better position. The question to ask, did all these prominent Brexiteers agree with Mrs May in calling of a snap election? 


About D. W.


I am a Nurse by profession. I have a keen interest in Politics and would like to become the Prime Minister some day. 

I am a strong believe in Social Justice and believe that policies should be centered around making a difference in Health, Education and for the good of humanity. 


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