STROUD - prediction and result No Overall Control
Stroud is a Labour target seat and one of the few English constituencies outside the cities and seaside resorts where there has been a long term shift towards Labour.
The Conservatives are the largest party on the council but, defending 12 seats this year, it will be difficult for them to take control.
Labour looks set to gain Cam West and Dursley from the Lib Dems but the latter should fight off a Conservative challenge in Wotton-under-Edge.
Labour will expect to take the two seats up for election this year in Berkeley from the Conservatives and perhaps also Cam East which the Conservatives held narrowly in 2010 and 2011 but Hardwicke was just held by the Conservatives last year and so looks more difficult. If Labour won all of these it would bode well for the general election here.
The Greens have a strong presence here and will maintain a hard fight with the Conservatives in Bisley and Nailsworth.
UKIP polled fairly well in Bisley in the county council elections and may affect the Conservative vote here. The Green are also defending Randwick, Whiteshill and Ruscombe ward but won very easily in 2010 and in 2006 and so should win again.